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The X Factor news from Digital Spy: 'X Factor' running order 'affects votes'
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#1 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 37
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John and Edward Odds...Come in Again!
Just noticed that the odds for the twins have come in even more in the last 24 hours and they are as short as 6/1 with Coral...biggest odds just 7/1!
The bookies must be taking a hell of alot of money for the odds to be cut so short so quickly....be worth them winning just to see the bookmakers get a hammering! |
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#2 |
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
Posts: 7,765
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I've heard the bookies are facing a £20m payout if they win
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#3 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2009
Gender: Female
Posts: 1,633
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All this hype will probably dye out before the final I reckon but we should by the time we get down to the final 5 if the producers are worried they might win
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#4 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 37
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Can honestly say(and i am a betting man) that i have never seen odds get cut so quickly and so short from the big prices they previously were a week or 2 ago...just makes me think that the bookies are getting info to suggest that they are honestly getting a high percentage of votes
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#5 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
Services: Virgin
Posts: 4,489
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Quote:
do you think the bookies have taken very seriously the 10,000 votes on free to call (not a poll) where J&E got 30% of that and were in second place? with the leader taking 35%? If you dont know anything about that I will link you to the thread on here about it. As it is about people who actually voted not some daft poll on the internet. GG |
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#6 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Golden Lion Hotel
Posts: 8,997
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What am I doing wrong? I have Oddschecker and Jedward are hardly ahead of the pack.
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/...or/winning-act |
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#7 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Bucks
Posts: 17,833
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Quote:
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#8 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
Services: Virgin
Posts: 4,489
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Eurostar had a thread here earlier and they were definately going up, sorry cannot find it will try to and bump it back up so you can read it as I think he had a link in it to where to look. Betfair I think have you tried looking there.
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#9 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Golden Lion Hotel
Posts: 8,997
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OK, I see..their odds have come dowm dramatically but Olly is the current fave.
Edit - yes on Befair they are the only ones whose odds are shortening/coming in, but they are in the middle behind Olly, Stacey and Joe |
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#10 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 37
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No i wasn't aware of that...be very interested to read about that
I bet on various different things including reality shows and seriously haven't seen a massive price cut like i have been noticing with John and Edward. For the first few weeks their odds never really changed(so i question why?) then over the last 2 weeks every bookies has cut their odds at a frightening rate which makes me think that the bookies are now getting inside info(something i am damn sure they get) with these types of betting markets. To be honest using my experience i backed the twins at 125/1 as soon as it was leaked about Louis getting the groups(was obvious he would pick them). Also did a similar thing with Rhydian backing him at 33-1 before the live shows started...just a case of taking a gamble and backing the people who are a bit different from the rest |
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#11 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 37
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Glorfindel is completely correct and understands what i am saying....its just the fact that their odds have come down so short so quickly....never seen anything like that before
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#12 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
Services: Virgin
Posts: 4,489
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that is one there was another that was before this one will try and find you that one as well.
I dont think people are getting the fact this is NOT a poll, this was 10,000 votes and you can read what is said in that thread as I think it could be indicating to the bookies that J&E are not anywhere near the bottom as so many people seem to think they are, also the fact it got the bottom two totally right and even in the right order beggars belief that is is not in some way a representation of the actual overall vote on the night. GG |
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#13 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 512
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I hope they do win i got them at 66-1
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#14 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
Services: Virgin
Posts: 4,489
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My god I wish I had placed a bet when I thought about it, but I thought stupid woman you cant waste you money on bets...I will kick myself in the head if they win...
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#15 | |
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Perthshire
Posts: 9,585
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Quote:
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#16 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
Posts: 7,765
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Quote:
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#17 |
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
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Well according to Martins site they will have them if they are released and I will get them in a newsletter via email...
My only fear is SC et al will try to stop them being released to the public, as they will know if the amount of votes are tripled then the results will be very much believed, and more people know about it, like on here now, so more people will use the service I am sure, I will have to be bloody fast off the mark Saturday with my ONE vote as no way would I abuse a free system, that is not me, if I want to vote loads then my reckoning is I should pay for it. But I like my one free vote, as I cant use my own home phone to do so. I have asked for the percentages for week one and two, hope I hear something back on that and will let you know. |
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#18 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
Posts: 7,765
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Quote:
If you do get the earlier figures,please post them here ; I'd be very interested to see the percentages for each week
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#19 |
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
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Posts: 4,489
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I will post the figures here will bookmark this page now, if and when I get them but I got Martins email this morning so he is sending the figures out via email as well as on his site posting them.
I also agree you have to listen to a 15 second advert then be told your vote is cast which takes longer than normal voting so multiple may not be so easy. GG |
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#20 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
Posts: 7,765
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Quote:
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#21 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 37
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#22 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 54,371
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Quote:
I really do think they stand a good chance of winning or coming second. So it could be Danyl or Twins first or second then is it.? Or could it be Olly Green Godess you say he is fav to win.
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#23 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Gender: Not specified
Location: Cambridge
Services: Virgin
Posts: 4,489
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Quote:
It is the hype in the papers the fact they have not been bottom two, whereas Chico was bottom 2 week one and again week 3 he did not go out either time, but these lads have not even been in the bottom. That tells people that they are being voted for. Before the live shows I think the expectation was the twins would be bottom week one and GONE out so some would not have risked a bet when it was 150/1 but hell many people did, the bookies stand to either make a mint or lose a great deal of money. Which I think is why many people are saying TWINS to win, as they love to see the bookies lose, let alone Simons face, mind you I am sure he is very happy right now this pair are keeping the show in the headlines, and the viewing numbers are going up week in week out. |
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#24 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 37
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Anymore info on the previous weeks and future weeks would be very appreciated as this is a far better indication then any online polls
Quite possible that this has had a huge effect on the odds reduction because i cannot believe that its just because more money is being put on them. I actually work for a high street bookmakers and we haven't taken a single bet on the twins so far! They are now 11/2 with one of the bookies and a few more going 6/1 |
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#25 | |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 174
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Quote:
They are attracting enormous numbers of votes as well at this stage certainly so it is not unreasonable for people to jump on the bandwagon. The bookies will shorten the odds as money is piled on them. |
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