*2008 DS Ratings Prediction Game: Season 4* - TV Programmes

rzt · 02-10-2008, 20:02

Welcome to Season 4 of the DS Ratings Prediction Game!

Anyone can play this game- even if you have missed seasons 1-3, because everyone will start level on 0 points. For new players and for older players (as a reminder), here are the rules of the game:

RULES
Basic Format
Every week, you will have to predict the ratings to 15 programmes (10 main, 5 backup) selected by either myself or a colleague. You will need to submit your predictions by the deadline specified.

You will then be scored for every programme and a daily leaderboard will be compiled based on everyone’s scores, ending each week with a final update. There'll be a different table every week, so it doesn't particularly matter if you miss a week.

Scoring system
The scoring system will work as following:

5 points- predicted rating is exactly the same as the actual rating
3 points- predicted rating is 0.1m-0.3m away from actual rating
2 points- predicted rating is 0.4m-0.5m away from actual rating
1 point- predicted rating is 0.6m-1m away from actual rating
0 points- predicted rating is more than 1m away from actual rating

Main, Backup and Special programmes
There are 10 ‘main’ programmes (including 2 specials). The ‘main’ programmes are essentially what will rank you in the tables. Using football analogy, they are basically the points which primarily determine your position in the league..

The 5 ‘backups’ come into use when ranking people with the same number of ‘main’ points. Using football analogy, the backups are like goal difference.

‘Backups’ also have another important role. They will also be used in scenarios where a ‘main’ programme is not broadcast, or is significantly altered from its initial schedule. If this situation arises, the 1st backup rating will become a ‘main’ rating, and so on.

And finally, as part of the mains, there are 2 ‘special’ programmes per week. For these ‘special’ programmes, you will get double points. For e.g. if you get a prediction bang on correct, you will get 10 points instead of 5 points. So, these programmes are very important in terms of the game- predict these wisely!

Leaderboards
Alongside the weekly leaderboards, there will also be:
- an overall Season 4 leaderboard by points
- an overall Season 4 leaderboard by weekly average
- a weekly winners list
- an overall 2008 leaderboard by points.

More detailed rules
This section is dedicated to Roscoe Barnes :
- if you submit your predictions on the thread after the deadline specified, you will be penalized accordingly.
- once you post your predictions on the thread, you may not change them later by reposting them or asking for a particular change. This is even if you make a typing error, which is you own fault.
- if you copy someone else’s predictions, I will take action. This could result in you being disqualified from the competition.
- if a main rating (which is a special) is substituted by a backup rating, the backup rating will become the special.
- if a particular rating is reported differently in different media sources and there is not 100% confirmation (by DS’s 2 decimal point system), I will ask my own source for the rating. If this does not work out, I will void the predictions for that show and use a backup as a main rating.
- if a programme overruns for a significant time (usually football or a live event), the rating for the entire broadcast (including the overrun time) will be used. If the media do not report the rating in accordance to this, I will ask my own source for the rating (including the overrun time). If this does not work out, I will void the predictions for that show and use a backup as a main rating.
- if by the end of the season, there are two or more people equal in top spot, the overall season points (including backups) will be counted to determine the winner. If the overall points (including backups) is the same, tie breaker ratings will happen until a winner is established.

The first week schedule, which is a blind launch, is 2 posts down.

I hope everyone enjoys the game and good luck!

rzt · 02-10-2008, 20:03

ROLL OF HONOUR

Season 1
1st: RobbieSykes123 - 285.5 ... 2nd: Roscoe Barnes - 285 ... 3rd: rzt - 269

RobbieSykes123 won the inaugural season in the closest way possible. After 130 predictions, RobbieSykes123 and Roscoe Barnes amazingly ended up with the same number of points - 285. A tie-breaker then occured and RobbieSykes123 edged it, therefore winning the season.

Here are the weekly winners of season 1:

Code:

Week	Name----------------------	Points	Dominancy (%)		
1	ronant----------------	23	58
2	rzt----------------------	26	57
3	RobbieSykes123---------	30	40
4	A Cillay-------------	27	21
5	Roscoe Barnes--------	28	73
6	RobbieSykes123---------	29	33
7	Dancc-----------------	21	31
8	Thebenster---------	32	35
9	DS Rob E-----------	24	23
10	RobbieSykes123-----	22	55
11	A Cillay-------------	21	26
12	C14E------------------	19	50
13	Jonwo----------------	27	31

Dominancy- how much better the player did than the average score for that week.

Ronant was the first ever weekly winner of the game. RobbieSykes123 won more weeks than any other player. The most dominant victory was Roscoe Barnes in week 5, who scored 73% higher than the average score.

Season 2
1st: rzt - 269 ... 2nd: ronant - 264 ... 3rd: Roscoe Barnes - 260

Personally, my favourite season . It didn't have the nail-biting finish of season 1, but it was still quite close all the way through between the top 3. This is the season when the game really got into its stride, with a big rise in players.

Here are the weekly winners of season 2:

Code:

Week	Name----------------------	Points	Dominancy (%)		
1	C14E------------------	25	60
2	C14E------------------	30	39
3	ronant----------------	24	31
4	yorkshirebread----------	23	44
5	NorfolkBird---------	27	28
6	remy---------------	16	51
7	yorkshirebread------	31	59
8	Roscoe Barnes------	25	74
9	PJMillar-------------	19	28
10	ZoeMcCallister-------	25	46
11	ZoeMcCallister-------	24	55
12	simmeh---------------	29	43
13	Thebenster-----------	31	39

C14E and ZoeMcCallisters had the most weekly victories (2). For the second season in a row, Roscoe Barnes had the most dominant victory - this time a record 74% above the average score. Season 2 was a low point for S1 winner - RobbieSykes123 - who failed to win a week or get into the top 5. Ironically rzt didn't win any weeks, yet won the overall season - consistency is important!

Season 3
1st: RobbiSykes123 - 343 ... =2nd: Deviled Egg & rzt - 337

An absolute cracker of a season! Literally heading into the final rating of the season, only 5 points separated the Top 7 players. It was excruciatingly close. And then the final special rating came in, and RobbieSykes123 was bang on, to claim his second season victory. A superb season from start to finish, with a record high player count.

Here are the weekly winners of season 3:

Code:

Week	Name----------------------	Points	Dominancy (%)		
1	Dancc----------------	28	51
2	Zoe McCallister------	38	41
3	Doctah Hoo?---------	40	33
4	C14E--------------------	33	45
5	RobbieSykes123-----------	45	57
6	Polonius-------------	29	50
7	Score---------------	26	54
8	Roscoe Barnes------	35	37
9	remy------------------	34	53
10	Pizzatheaction----------	30	32
11	rzt--------------------	34	53
12	C14E--------------------	28	37
13	RobbieSykes123-----------	26	36

Pretty amazing that there was a new weekly winner for 11 consecutive weeks! Just shows you how fiercely contested season 3 was. Both C14E and RobbieSykes123 ended up with the most weekly victories of S3 (2). Special shout-out to C14E who actually topped the ‘Averages Leaderboard’ due to being fantastically consistent in the weeks that he participated in. After a pretty mediocre second season for RobbieSykes123, he was back in form! And the game moved from strength to strength, as we headed into the final season of 2008.

Tip on how to be succesful in this game- have a username which begins with 'r'

.

rzt · 02-10-2008, 20:04

WEEK 1: BLIND LAUNCH SCHEDULE

Mon 6th October - Sun 12th October
1. Coronation Street- Mon 19.34 ITV1:
2. Unbreakable- Mon 21.00 Five:
3. *SPECIAL*: Sunshine- Tue 21.00 BBC1:
4. Paul Merton in India- Wed 21.00 Five:
5. Greatest Cities of the World- Wed 21.00 ITV1:
6. Extraordinary People- Thu 21.00 Five:
7. *SPECIAL*: England v Kazakhstan Live- Sat 16.30 ITV1:
8. The X Factor- Sat 19.15 ITV1:
9. Stephen Fry in America- Sun 21.00 BBC1:
10. A Touch of Frost- Sun 21.00 ITV1:

Backups:
1. Motorway Cops- Mon 21.00 BBC1:
2. British Style Genius- Tue 21.00 BBC2:
3. Ninety Naps a Day- Thu 21.00 C4:
4. Alan Carr's Celebrity Ding Dong- Fri 22.00 C4:
5. Merlin- Sat 19.05 BBC1:

Predictions Submission Deadline: Tuesday 7th October 09.00am

To start Season 4 with a bang, we are going to have a blind launch! This week, you will make your predictions in private. Click here to send your predictions to me!.

To keep this thread on page 1 (so people see it), can you please say below that you've sent your predictions when you do so. Thanks.

If you are a new player and are a bit confused, just reply and I'll explain it more thoroughly.

lostinlost2 · 02-10-2008, 20:21

I've sent you a PM of my predictions

rzt · 02-10-2008, 20:22

Quote:

Originally Posted by lostinlost2

I've sent you a PM of my predictions

First prediction in- lostinlost2 - new player. Good luck!

lostinlost2 · 02-10-2008, 20:23

Quote:

Originally Posted by rzt

First prediction in- lostinlost2 - new player. Good luck!

Thanks

I'm looking forward to seeing how I do

02-10-2008, 20:24

Good first schedule. Blind launch wahey! I laughed at the Coronation Street 19.34 thing - is that a mistake or a play on the fact that Monday's first Corrie is always REALLY late?

rzt · 02-10-2008, 20:34

Quote:

Originally Posted by Polonius

I laughed at the Coronation Street 19.34 thing - is that a mistake or a play on the fact that Monday's first Corrie is always REALLY late?

I think you probably know!

DS Rob E · 02-10-2008, 20:34

Predictions sent.

Thanks, as ever, to rzt.

D.M.N. · 02-10-2008, 20:53

Let's start this season with a BANG!!

Predictions sent.

Super Dog Man · 02-10-2008, 21:00

newbie

Predictions sent, got my eye on bottom place

Score · 02-10-2008, 21:02

Great schedule rzt. I've predicted.

Pizzatheaction · 02-10-2008, 21:22

I've sent my predictions.

smile371 · 02-10-2008, 22:13

Just Pm'd you Rzt

Nice to see some new people play along as well!

Dancc · 02-10-2008, 22:28

Ooh, a brand spanking new thread for Season 4. Welcome along to the newbies so far

Thanks rzt; an interesting schedule there for sure. I trust you'll know when to expect my predictions.

rzt · 03-10-2008, 11:10

Thanks for your prediction smile371- you're the 9th player to predict this week.

Avalanche · 03-10-2008, 11:35

I'm a new player, just sent in my predictions.

rzt · 03-10-2008, 11:37

Quote:

Originally Posted by Avalanche

I'm a new player, just sent in my predictions.

Hi, thanks for playing. I remember you played for a couple of weeks in S1 but then stopped. Hope you can play more this time round, and good luck.

Avalanche · 03-10-2008, 11:39

Good memory! Yeah, I started playing and then moved house and was without the internet for aaaages. And then when I came back I was far too busy with Big Brother to start playing again.

But thank you for the welcome, and I hope I can stick around longer this time!

Woody_Enfield · 03-10-2008, 11:51

Sent mine.

What do we win?

rzt · 03-10-2008, 11:56

Quote:

Originally Posted by Woody_Enfield

What do we win?

Hi.

You win the proud title of "Winner of Season 4", which should be enough.

Roscoe Barnes · 03-10-2008, 15:01

Quote:

Originally Posted by rzt

More detailed rules
This section is dedicated to Roscoe Barnes :
- if you submit your predictions on the thread after the deadline specified, you will be penalized accordingly.
- once you post your predictions on the thread, you may not change them later by reposting them or asking for a particular change. This is even if you make a typing error, which is you own fault.
- if you copy someone else’s predictions, I will take action. This could result in you being disqualified from the competition.
- if a main rating (which is a special) is substituted by a backup rating, the backup rating will become the special.
- if a particular rating is reported differently in different media sources and there is not 100% confirmation (by DS’s 2 decimal point system), I will ask my own source for the rating. If this does not work out, I will void the predictions for that show and use a backup as a main rating.
- if a programme overruns for a significant time (usually football or a live event), the rating for the entire broadcast (including the overrun time) will be used. If the media do not report the rating in accordance to this, I will ask my own source for the rating (including the overrun time). If this does not work out, I will void the predictions for that show and use a backup as a main rating.
- if by the end of the season, there are two or more people equal in top spot, the overall season points (including backups) will be counted to determine the winner. If the overall points (including backups) is the same, tie breaker ratings will happen until a winner is established.

Much appreciated.

This will avoid any confusion, which we had in Season 3.

Excellent schedule btw. I'll probs predict on Monday!

rzt · 03-10-2008, 16:29

Quote:

Originally Posted by Super Dog Man

newbie

Predictions sent, got my eye on bottom place

Special good luck to you as you're a newbie.

Thebenster · 03-10-2008, 16:42

Good layout of the thread and good schedule to start off with!

RobbieSykes123 · 03-10-2008, 21:32

Quote:

Originally Posted by rzt

This is even if you make a typing error, which is you own fault.

Freudian slip, rzt?

02-10-2008, 20:02	#1
rzt Forum Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 10,777	*2008 DS Ratings Prediction Game: Season 4* Welcome to Season 4 of the DS Ratings Prediction Game! Anyone can play this game- even if you have missed seasons 1-3, because everyone will start level on 0 points. For new players and for older players (as a reminder), here are the rules of the game: RULES Basic Format Every week, you will have to predict the ratings to 15 programmes (10 main, 5 backup) selected by either myself or a colleague. You will need to submit your predictions by the deadline specified. You will then be scored for every programme and a daily leaderboard will be compiled based on everyone’s scores, ending each week with a final update. There'll be a different table every week, so it doesn't particularly matter if you miss a week. Scoring system The scoring system will work as following: 5 points- predicted rating is exactly the same as the actual rating 3 points- predicted rating is 0.1m-0.3m away from actual rating 2 points- predicted rating is 0.4m-0.5m away from actual rating 1 point- predicted rating is 0.6m-1m away from actual rating 0 points- predicted rating is more than 1m away from actual rating Main, Backup and Special programmes There are 10 ‘main’ programmes (including 2 specials). The ‘main’ programmes are essentially what will rank you in the tables. Using football analogy, they are basically the points which primarily determine your position in the league.. The 5 ‘backups’ come into use when ranking people with the same number of ‘main’ points. Using football analogy, the backups are like goal difference. ‘Backups’ also have another important role. They will also be used in scenarios where a ‘main’ programme is not broadcast, or is significantly altered from its initial schedule. If this situation arises, the 1st backup rating will become a ‘main’ rating, and so on. And finally, as part of the mains, there are 2 ‘special’ programmes per week. For these ‘special’ programmes, you will get double points. For e.g. if you get a prediction bang on correct, you will get 10 points instead of 5 points. So, these programmes are very important in terms of the game- predict these wisely! Leaderboards Alongside the weekly leaderboards, there will also be: - an overall Season 4 leaderboard by points - an overall Season 4 leaderboard by weekly average - a weekly winners list - an overall 2008 leaderboard by points. More detailed rules This section is dedicated to Roscoe Barnes : - if you submit your predictions on the thread after the deadline specified, you will be penalized accordingly. - once you post your predictions on the thread, you may not change them later by reposting them or asking for a particular change. This is even if you make a typing error, which is you own fault. - if you copy someone else’s predictions, I will take action. This could result in you being disqualified from the competition. - if a main rating (which is a special) is substituted by a backup rating, the backup rating will become the special. - if a particular rating is reported differently in different media sources and there is not 100% confirmation (by DS’s 2 decimal point system), I will ask my own source for the rating. If this does not work out, I will void the predictions for that show and use a backup as a main rating. - if a programme overruns for a significant time (usually football or a live event), the rating for the entire broadcast (including the overrun time) will be used. If the media do not report the rating in accordance to this, I will ask my own source for the rating (including the overrun time). If this does not work out, I will void the predictions for that show and use a backup as a main rating. - if by the end of the season, there are two or more people equal in top spot, the overall season points (including backups) will be counted to determine the winner. If the overall points (including backups) is the same, tie breaker ratings will happen until a winner is established. The first week schedule, which is a blind launch, is 2 posts down. I hope everyone enjoys the game and good luck!

02-10-2008, 20:03	#2
rzt Forum Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 10,777	ROLL OF HONOUR Season 1 1st: RobbieSykes123 - 285.5 ... 2nd: Roscoe Barnes - 285 ... 3rd: rzt - 269 RobbieSykes123 won the inaugural season in the closest way possible. After 130 predictions, RobbieSykes123 and Roscoe Barnes amazingly ended up with the same number of points - 285. A tie-breaker then occured and RobbieSykes123 edged it, therefore winning the season. Here are the weekly winners of season 1: Code: Week Name---------------------- Points Dominancy (%) 1 ronant---------------- 23 58 2 rzt---------------------- 26 57 3 RobbieSykes123--------- 30 40 4 A Cillay------------- 27 21 5 Roscoe Barnes-------- 28 73 6 RobbieSykes123--------- 29 33 7 Dancc----------------- 21 31 8 Thebenster--------- 32 35 9 DS Rob E----------- 24 23 10 RobbieSykes123----- 22 55 11 A Cillay------------- 21 26 12 C14E------------------ 19 50 13 Jonwo---------------- 27 31 Dominancy- how much better the player did than the average score for that week. Ronant was the first ever weekly winner of the game. RobbieSykes123 won more weeks than any other player. The most dominant victory was Roscoe Barnes in week 5, who scored 73% higher than the average score. Season 2 1st: rzt - 269 ... 2nd: ronant - 264 ... 3rd: Roscoe Barnes - 260 Personally, my favourite season . It didn't have the nail-biting finish of season 1, but it was still quite close all the way through between the top 3. This is the season when the game really got into its stride, with a big rise in players. Here are the weekly winners of season 2: Code: Week Name---------------------- Points Dominancy (%) 1 C14E------------------ 25 60 2 C14E------------------ 30 39 3 ronant---------------- 24 31 4 yorkshirebread---------- 23 44 5 NorfolkBird--------- 27 28 6 remy--------------- 16 51 7 yorkshirebread------ 31 59 8 Roscoe Barnes------ 25 74 9 PJMillar------------- 19 28 10 ZoeMcCallister------- 25 46 11 ZoeMcCallister------- 24 55 12 simmeh--------------- 29 43 13 Thebenster----------- 31 39 C14E and ZoeMcCallisters had the most weekly victories (2). For the second season in a row, Roscoe Barnes had the most dominant victory - this time a record 74% above the average score. Season 2 was a low point for S1 winner - RobbieSykes123 - who failed to win a week or get into the top 5. Ironically rzt didn't win any weeks, yet won the overall season - consistency is important! Season 3 1st: RobbiSykes123 - 343 ... =2nd: Deviled Egg & rzt - 337 An absolute cracker of a season! Literally heading into the final rating of the season, only 5 points separated the Top 7 players. It was excruciatingly close. And then the final special rating came in, and RobbieSykes123 was bang on, to claim his second season victory. A superb season from start to finish, with a record high player count. Here are the weekly winners of season 3: Code: Week Name---------------------- Points Dominancy (%) 1 Dancc---------------- 28 51 2 Zoe McCallister------ 38 41 3 Doctah Hoo?--------- 40 33 4 C14E-------------------- 33 45 5 RobbieSykes123----------- 45 57 6 Polonius------------- 29 50 7 Score--------------- 26 54 8 Roscoe Barnes------ 35 37 9 remy------------------ 34 53 10 Pizzatheaction---------- 30 32 11 rzt-------------------- 34 53 12 C14E-------------------- 28 37 13 RobbieSykes123----------- 26 36 Pretty amazing that there was a new weekly winner for 11 consecutive weeks! Just shows you how fiercely contested season 3 was. Both C14E and RobbieSykes123 ended up with the most weekly victories of S3 (2). Special shout-out to C14E who actually topped the ‘Averages Leaderboard’ due to being fantastically consistent in the weeks that he participated in. After a pretty mediocre second season for RobbieSykes123, he was back in form! And the game moved from strength to strength, as we headed into the final season of 2008. Tip on how to be succesful in this game- have a username which begins with 'r' .

02-10-2008, 20:04	#3
rzt Forum Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 10,777	WEEK 1: BLIND LAUNCH SCHEDULE Mon 6th October - Sun 12th October 1. Coronation Street- Mon 19.34 ITV1: 2. Unbreakable- Mon 21.00 Five: 3. SPECIAL: Sunshine- Tue 21.00 BBC1: 4. Paul Merton in India- Wed 21.00 Five: 5. Greatest Cities of the World- Wed 21.00 ITV1: 6. Extraordinary People- Thu 21.00 Five: 7. SPECIAL: England v Kazakhstan Live- Sat 16.30 ITV1: 8. The X Factor- Sat 19.15 ITV1: 9. Stephen Fry in America- Sun 21.00 BBC1: 10. A Touch of Frost- Sun 21.00 ITV1: Backups: 1. Motorway Cops- Mon 21.00 BBC1: 2. British Style Genius- Tue 21.00 BBC2: 3. Ninety Naps a Day- Thu 21.00 C4: 4. Alan Carr's Celebrity Ding Dong- Fri 22.00 C4: 5. Merlin- Sat 19.05 BBC1: Predictions Submission Deadline: Tuesday 7th October 09.00am To start Season 4 with a bang, we are going to have a blind launch! This week, you will make your predictions in private. Click here to send your predictions to me!. To keep this thread on page 1 (so people see it), can you please say below that you've sent your predictions when you do so. Thanks. If you are a new player and are a bit confused, just reply and I'll explain it more thoroughly.

02-10-2008, 20:21	#4
lostinlost2 Forum Member Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 1,550 Blog Entries: 9	I've sent you a PM of my predictions

02-10-2008, 20:24	#7
Polonius Posts: n/a	Good first schedule. Blind launch wahey! I laughed at the Coronation Street 19.34 thing - is that a mistake or a play on the fact that Monday's first Corrie is always REALLY late?

02-10-2008, 20:34	#9
DS Rob E Forum Member Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 340	Predictions sent. Thanks, as ever, to rzt.

02-10-2008, 20:53	#10
D.M.N. Forum Member Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: My PC Services: Sky Posts: 9,569	Let's start this season with a BANG!! Predictions sent.

02-10-2008, 21:00	#11
Super Dog Man Forum Member Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Liverpool Services: Sky+HD, Virgin Tv & internet, XBox 360, Ipod Nano4, 1,000000 Monkey butlers Posts: 2,273	newbie Predictions sent, got my eye on bottom place

02-10-2008, 21:02	#12
Score Forum Member Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 2,626	Great schedule rzt. I've predicted.

02-10-2008, 21:22	#13
Pizzatheaction Forum Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Gender: Male Services: DTT Posts: 4,827 Blog Entries: 2	I've sent my predictions.

02-10-2008, 22:13	#14
smile371 Forum Member Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 5,225	Just Pm'd you Rzt Nice to see some new people play along as well!

02-10-2008, 22:28	#15
Dancc Forum Member Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Northamptonshire Services: Freeview, Virgin Broadband, Xbox Live Posts: 19,318	Ooh, a brand spanking new thread for Season 4. Welcome along to the newbies so far Thanks rzt; an interesting schedule there for sure. I trust you'll know when to expect my predictions.

03-10-2008, 11:10	#16
rzt Forum Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 10,777	Thanks for your prediction smile371- you're the 9th player to predict this week.

03-10-2008, 11:35	#17
Avalanche Forum Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Bedfordshire Posts: 1,136	I'm a new player, just sent in my predictions.

03-10-2008, 11:39	#19
Avalanche Forum Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Bedfordshire Posts: 1,136	Good memory! Yeah, I started playing and then moved house and was without the internet for aaaages. And then when I came back I was far too busy with Big Brother to start playing again. But thank you for the welcome, and I hope I can stick around longer this time!

03-10-2008, 11:51	#20
Woody_Enfield Forum Member Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Enfield Lock Services: Sky HD, Virgin 20mb Broadband, A Dog. Posts: 2,485	Sent mine. What do we win?

03-10-2008, 16:42	#24
Thebenster Forum Member Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: England Services: Virgin TV & Broadband, Freeview Posts: 3,823	Good layout of the thread and good schedule to start off with!